Warning to the Democratic party : Deny Obama at your own peril.

Obama will prevail .
As expected , Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton won pennsylvania by a pretty good margin. That shouldn't surprise anyone given that like Ohio , Pennsylvania has a large population of old , white , largely poor people. Blue collar democrats have consistently broke for Clinton throughout this entire campaign . The reasons why vary but I suspect that the main reason is that they are mostly concerned about economic issues and feel that they did well under Bill Clinton . Hillary's campaign has tried to use this trend to suggest that Barack Obama " can't " win these voters and will lose in november because of this . I disagree. The fact is that these people are Democrats . They are not going to sign off on 4 more years of republican rule because of some aversion to Obama . Regardless of what the polls say when the choice comes down to 4 more years of Bush-McCain policy or Barack Obama , Obama will be the pick.
Clinton however faces a greater problem. If Obama finishes the primary season ahead in the popular vote, states won and delegates won , and somehow Clinton is able to steal the nomination from him , there is no way she could ever become president . The reason why is because black people will be enraged . Black people have been quietly backing the Illinois senator . For the most part you have not really seen vocal support for Obama from prominent black people . If Obama is denied the nomination that will change . States like Maryland , Virginia , New York , even California , which have large black populations could end up being contested or even lost to John McCain if black people stay home. More than that the betrayal of black people , who have been the most loyal constituency the democrats have had , could be something that is felt for generations. Politics as we know it could shift with serious consequences.
In other words that scenario would not be good for anyone. The Democratic leadership knows this , which is why I feel this scenario is unlikely . It would be like David Stern giving the championship to the team that lost in the NBA finals. Yea the guys that won it might celebrate , but there would be a whole lot of pissed off people to deal with in the aftermath.
Here's what I think will happen. Obama will demolish Clinton in North Carolina , all but erasing her big Pennsylvania win . Obama will win Oregon , South Dakota and Montana . Clinton will win Kentucky , West Virginia and Puerto Rico. Indiana is a toss up but Obama will do well there given that large swaths of Indiana are in the Chicago media market . On June 3rd the race will likely look very much like it does right now . Obama will have a commanding lead in pleged delegates . Obama will also maintain his margin in the popular vote. At that point the leaders of the party will speak. Look for Nancy Pelosi , Al Gore , Howard Dean along with the majority of the undecided superdelegates to endorse Obama and force Hillary from the race.
It won't be pretty. Obama will likely endure weeks of attacks from Clinton and the Republicans who seem to have formed a unholy alliance. But as i've said before , the alternative , which entails writing off the black vote for generations , is much much uglier.
Obama will be the nominee . Its just a matter of time.